Selasa, 29 Maret 2011

[J681.Ebook] Ebook Download The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World, by Daniel Yergin

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The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World, by Daniel Yergin

A master storyteller as well as a leading energy expert, Daniel Yergin continues the riveting story begun in his Pulitzer Prize–winning book, The Prize. In The Quest, Yergin shows us how energy is an engine of global political and economic change and conflict, in a story that spans the energies on which our civilization has been built and the new energies that are competing to replace them.

The Quest tells the inside stories, tackles the tough questions, and reveals surprising� insights about coal, electricity, and natural gas. He explains how climate change became a great issue and leads readers through the rebirth of renewable energies, energy independence, and the return of the electric car. Epic in scope and never more timely, The Quest vividly reveals the decisions, technologies, and individuals that are shaping our future.

  • Sales Rank: #17704 in Books
  • Published on: 2012-09-26
  • Released on: 2012-09-26
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.40" h x 1.50" w x 5.50" l, 1.52 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 832 pages

Review
“Mr. Yergin is back with a sequel to The Prize. It is called The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World, and, if anything, it’s an even better book. It is searching, impartial and alarmingly up to date… The Quest will be necessary reading for C.E.O.’s, conservationists, lawmakers, generals, spies, tech geeks, thriller writers, ambitious terrorists and many others… The Quest is encyclopedic in its ambitions; it resists easy synopsis.”� — THE NEW YORK TIMES (Dwight Garner)

“A sprawling story richly textured with original material, quirky details and amusing anecdotes... The tale is generously sprinkled with facts debunking common misperceptions, and Mr. Yergin sagely analyzes how well the energy industry really works.” — THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

“It is a cause for celebration that Yergin has returned with his perspective on a very different landscape… [I]t is impossible to think of a better introduction to the essentials of energy in the 21st century. In Yergin’s lucid, easy prose, the 800 pages flow freely… The Quest is… the definitive guide to how we got here.”
— THE FINANCIAL TIMES

“An important book… a valuable primer on the basic issues that define energy today. Yergin is careful in his analysis and never polemical… Despite that, The Quest makes it clear that energy policy is not on the right course anywhere in the world and that everyone—on the left and the right, in the developed and the developing world—need to rethink strongly held positions.” — THE NEW YORK TIMES BOOK REVIEW (Fareed Zakaria)

�“Mr Yergin’s previous book, The Prize, a history of the global oil industry, had the advantage of an epic tale and wondrous timing… The Quest, as its more open-ended title suggests, is a broader and more ambitious endeavour… The Quest is a masterly piece of work and, as a comprehensive guide to the world’s great energy needs and dilemmas, it will be hard to beat.”�
— THE ECONOMIST

“The Quest is a book—a tour de force, really—that evaluates the alternatives to oil so broadly and deeply that the physical tome could double as a doorstop… It is best read slowly, perhaps one chapter per day maximum, if the goal is to actually absorb the rich detail and sometimes complicated workings described by Yergin.” — USA TODAY

About the Author
DANIEL�B. YERGIN is one of the most influential voices on energy in the world and a highly respected authority on international politics and economics. Dr. Yergin received the Pulitzer Prize for The Prize, which became a number one bestseller. He received the United States Energy Award for “lifelong achievements in energy and the promotion of international understanding.” He is the chairman of IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates. His other books include Commanding Heights: The Battle for the World Economy; Russia 2010; and Shattered Peace.

[www.danielyergin.com]

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163 of 195 people found the following review helpful.
Extraordinary Author Daniel Yergin, Gives Us a Gift with THE QUEST - 5 Fabulous STARS
By Richard of Connecticut
We all live fast paced and complex lives. If you are a reader then the key choice you must master is what to read. There is simply too much out there, and you cannot absorb it all. Every now and then a book comes along which is the equivalent of a precious diamond. It is so full of information, presented in such an interesting way that you can't bring yourself to put it down. You couple this characteristic with an author who is a major thinker and what you have when you put it all together is a 1 in a 100 type book. This is a book that changes everything we know about energy.

This is Daniel Yergin

Daniel Yergin is such an author, and this is such a book. It has now been two decades since the he turned the world upside down with his Pulitzer Prize winning "The Prize - The Epic Quest for Oil". To have read it is to understand the world. Its monumental impact affected our economy and Wall Street. In the last few years it became apparent that The Prize needed a badly needed update, not just a chapter added. Instead of completely revamping The Prize, Yergin did one better, he chose to write on the world of energy in general and then incorporate revisions from his previous writings which were necessary. This brings us to "The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World".

We live in world that currently creates $65 trillion per year in gross production of goods and services. Our country does close to $15 trillion of this production, while Europe as a whole does slightly more. Within 20 years the world is expected to produce $130 trillion, that's a doubling in just 2 decades. Now here's the problem as laid out in the book. Yergin clearly spells out that in the developed world today we use about 14 barrels of oil per person per year. In the developing countries we use about 3 barrels per person per year. What are we going to do when gross world production goes from $65 trillion to $130 trillion; energy needs must expand along with economic production?

Oil, coal, and natural gas currently provide 80% of the world's energy needs. It is the thesis of the book that these three sources of energy combined, cannot suffice to answer our energy needs. Yes there is more of each of these sources than previously thought available. As an example, today we produce 5 times the amount of oil than we did in 1957, a remarkable increase, but what is coming down the pike is a need to expand energy to extraordinary levels.

The Book's Organization

This is a relatively long book composed of 711 pages of narrative without a boring sentence in the entire book. It reads fast in spite of its length. There are 16 pages of bibliography and this bibliography is a useful one if you want to explore this topic further. You will then find 34 pages of footnotes, and I like the footnotes being in the back of the book in this case, as opposed to the end of the chapters as you see in other books. Yergin has given us six parts to ponder in this story of how we will solve our energy problems.

PART I - The New World of Oil

It is in this chapter that the author covers the return of Russia as an energy power. The world is a changing place and Russia has become an energy powerhouse with its abundant oil and gas resources. Yergin also covers the war in Iraq and the rise of China in this part. China's needs will eclipse our own as their economy continues to rapidly expand. The beauty of a book like this is that you are not only learning about the energy world, but the world in general. It is a fascinating journey as we find out about the emerging superpowers and whether or not America can continue to hold onto economic dominance in a rapidly changing world.

PART II - Securing the Supply

There's more than one reason why America spends close to $800 billion on defense spending. You have to keep the sea lanes safe for oil and energy transport. Without world trade, America would rapidly sink into a depression since international trade makes up 25% of our Gross Domestic product. In this section the author gives you a thorough survey of what it means to run out of energy including oil and natural gas.

PART III - The ELECTRIC Age

The book makes clear that we may be living in the post industrial age, or the information society, but in terms of energy we are still living in the OBSOLETE Fossil Age, and it has to change. The Electric age is coming to an end, and in this section Yergin tells us the pros and cons of what is coming. You are not getting theories from talking heads. This is the preeminent expert on oil and energy in the world today. Corporations and governments pay a fortune to consult with the author with regard to what he thinks is coming next.

PART IV - Climate and Carbon

Is there glacial change? Is the earth getting warmer? What is the effect of climate change on man's need for more energy? Where will it come from and can we afford it? Is the internal combustion engine now more than a century old reaching the end of its operational efficiency? Must we go another way? The average SUV weighs 5000 pounds and is being driven around town half the time by soccer moms driving alone? How much longer can we keep the whole process going, and is it changing right before our eyes?

PART V - New Energies

Yes, there are new sources of energy coming. We are going to see wind turbines everywhere, but there is also a 5th source of energy coming. Perhaps it is already here and that is EFFICIENCY. We must get more out of the energy we already have. When Exxon moves oil crude from a pipeline to tanker there is less than one teaspoon of oil that is lost in the process. We must become more efficient as a society and as a world, and we must close the conservation gap, which we haven't even begun to tackle yet.

PART VI - Road to the Future

How interesting that in the last part of this book the author chooses to deal with what he calls carbohydrate man, and the great electric car experiment. Would you believe that only about 20% of the energy that comes out of the internal combustion engine is efficiently used in the running of a car. The rest comes out of the muffler into the air as heat and lost energy. With electric cars, the efficiency approaches 85%? Batteries are still too heavy however, and they do not last as long as they should. We haven't even discussed how costly they are to replace. Nevertheless, the electric car is in our future, and this book tells you the whole story.

CONCLUSION

You are going to love this book, all 700 plus pages of it. Nobody tells a more exciting story than Daniel Yergin. To win a Pulitzer Prize you must grip the reader's attention and never let go from beginning to end, and that is precisely what we have here. It is a non-fiction book that reads like a spy thriller and a reader can't expect more from a book, especially one on the topic of energy.

I urge you to read anything this man writes. It is rare that Yergin publishes and everything he says has power and relevance attached to it. My only reading wish is to find more books in the same class as "The Quest". Such books are rare unfortunately, and when you find them, we have to let our friends and other readers know. I thank you for reading this review.

Richard C. Stoyeck

57 of 70 people found the following review helpful.
Epic -
By Loyd Eskildson
The Quest" is an 804-page up-to-date sequel to energy-consultant Yergin's earlier best-selling, Pulitzer winning "The Prize." Topics covered include the Soviet Union's breakup, Japan's recent earthquake and tsunami, major mergers in the oil industry, Iraq War II, China's growth in energy demand, peak oil, a nuclear Iran, the 'Dutch disease, and how energy production and distribution is vulnerable to cyber warfare. Yergin also criticizes California's deregulation of electricity that created shortages, and Marion Hubbert for his 'peak-oil' theorizing.

A side benefit of "The Quest" is that it also provides important insights on related issues. For example, readers learn that the Arab oil embargo and 1973 October War helped sustain the Soviet Union via their associated quadrupling of oil prices - Russia's main source of hard currency. (Prior to the 1991 breakup of the Soviet Union, it was the world's #1 oil producer; it now has returned to that position.) At the time of the breakup they were having difficulty even feeding children in major cities - thus, the popular story that it was Reagan's defense buildup that broke their economic back (denied by Gorbachev) probably isn't true. Regardless, such heavy reliance on natural resources probably also 'infected' the Soviets then (Russia today) with the so-called 'Dutch disease' in which other economic areas remain weak and undeveloped. Yergin also illustrates how the Dutch disease infected Nigeria and Venezuela as well. Conversely, China had no such richness of natural resources, and that probably helped push it towards the broad range of competencies it has achieved. One also learns important details of how the Russian oligarchs came about, and the subsequent feuding of some with Putin that led to their downfall. Readers also learn that early users of solar photovoltaics were indoor marijuana growers trying to hide their heavy electricity use, and receive a short compendium of major mistakes made on both sides prior to and after initial Iraq War II combat.

The 'bad news' about Yergin's book is that it sometimes leaves out important and interesting details, and superficially treats global warming, energy efficiency, and renewable energy sources.

36 of 45 people found the following review helpful.
If not a masterpiece, then the definitive guide
By Busy Boxer
As an author, Daniel Yergin is best known for his authorship of The Prize, a Pulitzer Prize-winning tome on the origins and development of the international oil sector. In the energy industry, Yergin is also famous as the founder of Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA) -- a well-respected energy research consultancy now owned by IHS. For The Quest, Yergin has parlayed his skills as a writer/researcher and the access of an industry luminary into a sweeping and comprehensive guide to the energy world of yesterday, today and tomorrow.

The Quest is written in five sections. They cover oil, energy security, electricity, climate change, renewable energy and transportation -- particularly the electric car. Yergin couches the development of the industry in his distinctive voice and seduces the reader with piquant portraits of the personalities and turning points that have defined the energy world. For those that know Yergin as an "oil man," the passion with which he relates his history of the science, politics and policy of climate change may come as a surprise.

Indeed, no other author has demonstrated such an ability to vivify the topic of energy. Yergin has turned CERA, Washington DC, and the entire energy sector into his own personal data mine. His myriad interviews pepper The Quest with insider perspective of industrial consortiums, environmental NGOs, international oil companies, the US military, and numerous presidential administrations.

The graphics, maps and photo sections are also excellent and informative.

On the down side, Yergin is excessively polite in his treatment of oil companies, dictators and energy traders. He reliably shies away from naming and shaming environmental polluters, corporate raiders, authoritarians, and oil barons. The scope of the book means that these narratives come in the form of "mini histories" -- rather than a grand, sweeping, linear narrative.

Still, the Quest is a remarkable achievement. It is balanced, current, comprehensive and an excellent read.

Five stars.

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Kamis, 24 Maret 2011

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Brotherhood of Thieves 3: The Final Battle, by Stuart Daly

Can one boy's actions change the course of a war?

Andalon is at war, and Caspan and his friends find themselves in the thick of the battle to save their land from the invading Roon. As they fly into the skies above the enemy's warships - Caspan on his drake, Roland on his manticore and Sara on her pegasus - they have no idea whether they will survive this mission alive.

A chance encounter with a fleeing soldier could change everything, provided Caspan acts fast. Could Caspan's new friend help to bring peace to Andalon? All will be revealed in the final battle.

  • Sales Rank: #937910 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-04-01
  • Released on: 2015-03-25
  • Format: Kindle eBook

About the Author
Stuart Daly is a history teacher in a private high school. He is the author of The Witch Hunter Chronicles series.

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Rabu, 23 Maret 2011

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Become Your Own Boss in 12 Months: A Month-by-Month Guide to a Business that Works, by Melinda F Emerson

"Melinda Emerson...will inspire you to pursue your own entrepreneurial vision."
—Marc H. Morial, President, National Urban League

Whether you're newly unemployed, sick of office life and longing for a change, or just want to finally turn your business idea into reality, you can follow your dream and make your passion your profession. Drawing on her experience as founder of an award-winning production company, Melinda F. Emerson shows you how in this practical month-by-month guide to getting your business off the ground.

Inside, you'll find the timetable and steps you need to take to become a successful CEO of your own venture, including:

Month 1: Meet with potential venture capitalists
Month 3: Set a one-year marketing budget
Month 5: Select a logo
Month 9: Purchase customer relationship management software
Month 11: Prepare your launch day press release

Next year at this time, you could be calling the shots at your dream job. You supply the energy, an idea, and elbow grease—and this book will supply the plan.

  • Sales Rank: #305814 in Books
  • Published on: 2010-03-18
  • Released on: 2010-03-18
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.44" h x .80" w x 5.50" l, .68 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 272 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Save, plan then launch
By Larry Battle
I've started a few small businesses that failed because of poor planning & structure.
Seeking for a change, I picked up this highly rated book on entrepreneurship to find out the essential skills and techniques needed to build a successful company.
Having finished this book, I've found what I've been searching for and realized my mistakes.
For example, I'm now aware that before I start my next company I need to develop a solid business plan, eliminate my debt, save up a year worth of operational cost and read this book again.
I really enjoyed reading this book since it's simple, straight forwards and offers "Emerson's Action Steps", a list summarizing each chapter.

This book covers all the aspects of a start-up, from forming a life and financial plan to marketing and hiring employees.
I recommend "Become your own boss in 12 months" for anyone starting up a business, whether on-line or off-line.

Thanks Melinda Emerson for sharing your insightful knowledge to the world.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
If You Love Yourself and Your Money and You Want to Do It Right... You Need This
By Vickie Gunnells-Hodge
When reading this book, the assumption, if already in business, could be that "How can this book help me?" The answer is quite simple. Become your own boss in 12 Months reminds you of some of the simple steps you had in mind before beginning your business. It is a great tool to also expand some areas you may not have even thought about. If, by chance you are contemplating entering the business arena to own your level of greatness instead of continuing to rent or lease it out to those who don't really appreciate you; this book will allow you to avoid some of the common, but often costly mistakes made by those who did not have this book. Thanks Melinda!

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A Wonderful Guidebook
By Rev. Cheryl Ward
Essential for an entrepreneurs life and business! Mellissa Emerson offers expert advice for anyone interested in laying a successful foundation for their business or even finding out if they have what it takes to be an an entrepreneur. She asks important questions while offering thought provoking advice in each chapter. This book helped me on so many levels both personally and professionally that I continue to re-read certain sections. I highly recommend this book to anyone starting a business or as a refresher course for those who have been in business for years.

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Selasa, 22 Maret 2011

[D946.Ebook] Ebook Download Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?, by William Poundstone

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Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?, by William Poundstone

You are shrunk to the height of a nickel and thrown in a blender. The blades start moving in 60 seconds. What do you do? If you want to work at Google, or any of America's best companies, you need to have an answer to this and other puzzling questions.

ARE YOU SMART ENOUGH TO WORK AT GOOGLE? guides readers through the surprising solutions to dozens of the most challenging interview questions. The book covers the importance of creative thinking, ways to get a leg up on the competition, what your Facebook page says about you, and much more. ARE YOU SMART ENOUGH TO WORK AT GOOGLE? is a must read for anyone who wants to succeed in today's job market.

  • Sales Rank: #5209449 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-03-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.80" h x .69" w x 5.08" l, .46 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback

Review
"Serious ammunition to pack for your next job interview."―Kirkus

"Poundstone offers strategies for making the best of nerve-racking situations, decoding interviewer's hidden agendas, and salvaging a doomed interview, in a solid treatment peppered with mind-bending puzzles. Poundstone's energetic, compelling writing...makes the book fun even for nonjob seekers."―Publishers Weekly

"A neat little manifesto on interview technique...Touring through a huge number of puzzles, he provides a truly exhaustive account of all the factors you're meant to consider when thinking your way through the solutions. Tackling [them] is incredibly gratifying, when you're not withering under the baleful eye of a potential employer."―New Scientist Culture Lab

"For those in the job market, Poundstone provides a handy survey of killer questions and how to answer them. For others, he offers the challenge of matching wits with people at America's most innovative companies. As for employers, he presents a timely warning about creative thinking and why job interviews don't work...The format affords Poundstone room to display his scientific knowledge, mathematical fluency and knack for explaining the arcane in playfully precise sentences."―Bloomberg Businessweek

"Amusing."―Denver Post

"A helpful guide."―Christian Science Monitor

About the Author
William Poundstone is the author of twelve books, including How Would You Move Mount Fuji? and Fortune's Formula, which was Amazon Editors' pick for the #1 nonfiction book of the year in 2005. He has written for the New York Times, Harper's, Harvard Business Review, and the Village Voice, among other publications. He lives in Los Angeles.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Informative for interviewing at Google and beyond, but don't get your hopes up
By Winston Kotzan
I found this to be an entertaining and informative read about the riddle-type questions that are now so popular in job interviews. Some of the advice offered could give you ideas on how to answer such questions if you are faced with them during an interview. Importantly, it could help you better structure your thought process and demeanor when tackling such interview questions. However, this book alone would probably not help you get a job at Google or anywhere else - riddles or not.

The most interesting thing I found in this book is the admission that other companies have adopted riddle questions because they are trying to be more like Google. However, such interviewers usually don't understand the reasoning or objectives behind Google's riddle/mathematical problems and therefore a worthy response to a riddle asked at Google may get you different results at other companies.

I had fun comparing my answers to the riddles to the answer key in the back of the book, but I believe that it has only made me marginally better as an interviewer. I still think that getting hit with a riddle during an interview at any company makes your success more of a crap shoot.

44 of 48 people found the following review helpful.
Interesting Book With a Misleading Title
By Dave F
I really wish this book didn't have the tantalizing (and very misleading) title. It's basically a book of brain teasers that are very loosely associated with Google or other tech firms. As background: I *did* read the entire book and have also interviewed at many tech firms and startups for Software Engineering positions. Including navigating through many difficult interviews at Google to receive an offer from them and speaking with *many* fellow engineers who have also interviewed at Google. So this review is from the perspective of software engineering, not sales or the many other (important) positions that exist at Google but aren't at the core of its business.

With an interview at Google imminent, I purchased the Kindle edition of the book on a whim to help study. It mostly plays on myths of what the interview questions are like at Google, i.e. "Trick Questions, Zen-like Riddles, Insanely Difficult Puzzles, and Other Devious Interviewing Techniques..." Unfortunately if you use this as a study guide for a Software Engineering position, it's going to waste your time. Let me say that again in another way: this book will not help to prepare you for a Software Engineering interview at Google. In fact it might be detrimental because you'll spend valuable time and brain cycles working out the (fun!) brain teasers in this book rather than brushing up on the algorithms and CS fundamentals that are so much more important.

(As an aside: I will say that despite the ban on brain teasers at Google, I *was* asked a brain teaser on one of my last interviews. Out of 8 interviews and well over 20 problems, it was only 1, though. And it isn't in the book.)

Read this book if you want to read fun brain teasers and work through challenging problems. The problem descriptions are good and the explanation of the solutions (including frequently working from the "easy" answer through to the "best" one) is very good for non-technical people to read. For software engineers, particularly reasonably experienced ones, the explanations can definitely border on pedantic and overly obvious. There's also some awkward use of technical terms that make it clear it's not written by an engineer. For non-technical people, however, it's written in an accessible style with good humor that will likely add to the fun. The problems are frequently legitimately tricky no matter who the audience is, but again, they're not the types of things that are asked at Google. It's a good thing to read on the subway to/from work -- problems are bite-sized, so you can knock one or two off during the ride and pick up where you left off.

I saw an exchange of comments between the author of this book and the author of "Cracking the Coding Interview" on a couple of reviews. For what it's worth, the author of "Cracking" is more accurate from my perspective -- and her book is far, far better at preparing for a software engineering interview.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
This Book Will Make You Enjoy Job Hunting(alibi maybe)
By Dr. R. D. B. Laime
First of all, William Poundstone is a very good writer, and a bright guy to boot. This is a good book just to give you the answer to those crazy puzzles you often find not only in interviews, but in puzzle books. It's a pleasure to read and you really learn a lot. A book worth buying no matter what you are trying to find---a job--solutions to puzzles and more.

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[X317.Ebook] Download Ebook The Knowledge Illusion: Why We Never Think Alone, by Steven Sloman, Philip Fernbach

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The Knowledge Illusion: Why We Never Think Alone, by Steven Sloman, Philip Fernbach

“The Knowledge Illusion is filled with insights on how we should deal with our individual ignorance and collective wisdom.” —Steven Pinker

We all think we know more than we actually do.
 
Humans have built hugely complex societies and technologies, but most of us don’t even know how a pen or a toilet works. How have we achieved so much despite understanding so little? Cognitive scientists Steven Sloman and Philip Fernbach argue that we survive and thrive despite our mental shortcomings because we live in a rich community of knowledge. The key to our intelligence lies in the people and things around us. We’re constantly drawing on information and expertise stored outside our heads: in our bodies, our environment, our possessions, and the community with which we interact—and usually we don’t even realize we’re doing it.
 
The human mind is both brilliant and pathetic. We have mastered fire, created democratic institutions, stood on the moon, and sequenced our genome. And yet each of us is error prone, sometimes irrational, and often ignorant. The fundamentally communal nature of intelligence and knowledge explains why we often assume we know more than we really do, why political opinions and false beliefs are so hard to change, and why individually oriented approaches to education and management frequently fail. But our collaborative minds also enable us to do amazing things. This book contends that true genius can be found in the ways we create intelligence using the world around us.

  • Sales Rank: #15823 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2017-03-14
  • Released on: 2017-03-14
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
“In The Knowledge Illusion, the cognitive scientists Steven Sloman and Philip Fernbach hammer another nail into the coffin of the rational individual... positing that not just rationality but the very idea of individual thinking is a myth.” —The New York Times Book Review

“Sloman and Fernbach offer clever demonstrations of how much we take for granted, and how little we actually understand... The book is stimulating, and any explanation of our current malaise that attributes it to cognitive failures—rather than putting it down to the moral wickedness of one group or another—is most welcome. Sloman and Fernbach are working to uproot a very important problem... [The Knowledge Illusion is] written with vigour and humanity.” —Financial Times

“The Knowledge Illusion is at once both obvious and profound: the limitations of the mind are no surprise, but the problem is that people so rarely think about them... In the context of partisan bubbles and fake news, the authors bring a necessary shot of humility: be sceptical of your own knowledge, and the wisdom of your crowd.” —The Economist

“A breezy guide to the mechanisms of human intelligence.” —Psychology Today

“In an increasingly polarized culture where certainty reigns supreme, a book advocating intellectual humility and recognition of the limits of understanding feels both revolutionary and necessary. The fact that it’s a fun and engaging page-turner is a bonus benefit for the reader.” —Publishers Weekly

“An utterly fascinating and unsettling book, The Knowledge Illusion shows us how everything we know is bound together with knowledge of others. Sloman and Fernbach break down many of our assumptions about science, how we think and how we know anything at all about the world in which we live. Despite the wide-scale deconstruction, the authors are upbeat... Anyone engaged in the work of nurturing healthy and flourishing communities will ultimately have to wrestle with the questions posed in this book. Sloman and Fernbach help us to do so gracefully, acknowledging the truth of how little we know, and finding hope in this precarious situation.” —Relevant Magazine

“Between Sloman and Fernbach they have provided an insightful and thought-provoking read on how much the individual knows in relation to the community of knowledge.” —NPJ Journal

“We all know less than we think we do, including how much we know about how much we know. There’s no cure for this condition, but there is a treatment: this fascinating book. The Knowledge Illusion is filled with insights on how we should deal with our individual ignorance and collective wisdom.” —Steven Pinker, Johnstone Family Professor of Psychology, Harvard University, and author of How the Mind Works and The Stuff of Thought

“I love this book. A brilliant, eye-opening treatment of how little each of us knows, and how much all of us know. It's magnificent, and it's also a lot of fun. Read it!” —Cass R. Sunstein, coauthor of Nudge and founder and director, Program on Behavioral Economics and Public Policy, Harvard Law School
 
“Steven Sloman and Philip Fernbach are experts on ignorance. Their absorbing book reveals all the ways we delude ourselves into thinking we know more than we do.” —Jonah Berger, author of Contagious and Invisible Influence

“Cognitive science attempts to understand the workings of the individual mind.  In this brilliant book, Steven Sloman and Philip Fernbach show us that what cognitive science has learned is how much the individual mind depends on the minds of others. No matter how smart we are, as individuals we know (almost) nothing. Reading this book will inspire you to cultivate your own expertise, but even more, it will inspire you to seek out and appreciate the expertise of others. This book is a blueprint for an enlightened society.” —Barry Schwartz, author of The Paradox of Choice, Practical Wisdom, and Why We Work.
 
“We radically overestimate how much we know. In this fascinating book, Steven Sloman and Philip Fernbach examine the origin and consequences of this knowledge illusion, exploring both the extent of our ignorance and the clever ways in which we overcome it. This is an exceptionally clear and well-reasoned book, and it has some important and radical things to say about everything from the allure of stories to how iPhones make us smarter to the pros and cons of democracy. This is psychology at its best.” —Paul Bloom, Professor of Psychology at Yale University, and author of Against Empathy: The Case for Rational Compassion

About the Author
Steven Sloman is a professor of cognitive, linguistic, and psychological sciences at Brown University. He is the editor in chief of the journal Cognition. He lives with his wife in Providence, Rhode Island. His two children have flown the coop.

Philip Fernbach is a cognitive scientist and professor of marketing at the University of Colorado’s Leeds School of Business. He lives in Boulder, Colorado, with his wife and two children.

Most helpful customer reviews

27 of 28 people found the following review helpful.
Great overview of ignorance and community knowledge, but not enough advice on how to deal with it
By Matt Kruse
This book is a fairly easy introduction to the topics of ignorance, the knowledge illusion, how we fool ourselves, and the value/necessity of storing knowledge in a group and how they came to be. The ideas are explained well with lots of examples. I wish everyone would read this book and really think about how much they don't know. The book directly addresses the current political climate, which makes it even more relevant.

The only thing that tempted me to give it 4 stars was what I thought was a lack of advice on how to deal with these problems. Many pages were spent explaining how human thinking is fragile and how this results in bad effects. But there was very little discussion about how to proceed with this understanding. What are some practical ways to improve the knowledge system so individual ignorance has less of an impact? How does this apply to bosses/managers? Community leaders? Parents? Social Media?

I would welcome a second book about that topic specifically - now that you know all the problems with how we think and where knowledge is actually stored, here are some practical strategies for making the most of it!

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Inspiring, paradigm shifting perspective on knowledge – and what humans can achieve together
By Paul Gibbons
The Knowledge Illusion tells us something depressing – we don’t know nearly as much INDIVIDUALLY as we think, and something liberating – COLLECTIVELY, thinking together, we can achieve magical things.

Day in and day out we use objects, such as a ballpoint pen, about whose inner workings we know nothing.  On more complex issues, such as climate change, we may have strong positions – but who among us could describe how global temperatures are measured, what the albedo effect is, what the main sources of greenhouse gasses are, and how climate models (which run on super computers) work?

Professors Sloman and Fernbach start with a tour of cognitive science, including neuroscience, psychology, decision making, and contemporary social psychological research.  They illustrate this research with compelling anecdotes making it come alive for the layperson.  By the middle of the book I was hooked, as they delve into subjects such as scientific literacy – did you know that only 73% of Americans know that the Earth moves around the Sun and not vice versa?!

In the last half of the book, they offer solutions beyond the commonplace – sure education is important, but if we are right that “we don’t think alone” – what does that imply for the way we teach and learn?  What does that mean for communities, teams, political discourse?

In a world where opinions are more polarized than before, despite rich information resources, Sloman and Fernbach invite us to be more humble about our own knowledge, but inspire us with what we can achieve if we drop dogmatic and hubristic stances, and think about knowledge as a collective enterprise.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
''We suffer from an illusion that we understand how things work when in fact our understanding is meager''
By Clay Garner
''Our point is not that people are ignorant. It’s that people are more ignorant than they think they are. We all suffer, to a greater or lesser extent, from an illusion of understanding, an illusion that we understand how things work when in fact our understanding is meager'' (6)

''Illusion of understanding''! Who me?

''The mind is not built to acquire details about every individual object or situation. We learn from experience so that we can generalize to new objects and situations. The ability to act in a new context requires understanding only the deep regularities in the way the world works, not the superficial details.'' (11)

What source do we use?

''Instead of appreciating complexity, people tend to affiliate with one or another social dogma. Because our knowledge is enmeshed with that of others, the community shapes our beliefs and attitudes. It is so hard to reject an opinion shared by our peers that too often we don’t even try to evaluate claims based on their merits. We let our group do our thinking for us. Appreciating the communal nature of knowledge should make us more realistic about what’s determining our beliefs and values.'' (15)

Not me! I decide for myself! Really? George Bernard Shaw wrote . . .

''The warrior of the twentieth century was driven as much by faith as the warrior of the fifteenth century: In the Middle Ages people believed that the earth was flat, for which they had at least the evidence of their senses: we believe it to be round, not because as many as one per cent of us could give the physical reasons for so quaint a belief, but because modern science has convinced us that nothing that is obvious is true, and that everything that is magical, improbable, extraordinary, gigantic, microscopic, heartless, or outrageous is scientific.'' (126)

Wow! You think the earth rotates and the sun is stationary? Don't you believe your eyes?

Introduction: Ignorance and the Community of Knowledge
1 What We Know
2 Why We Think
3 How We Think
4 Why We Think What Isn’t So
5 Thinking with Our Bodies and the World
6 Thinking with Other People
7 Thinking with Technology
8 Thinking About Science
9 Thinking About Politics
10 The New Definition of Smart
11 Making People Smart
12 Making Smarter Decisions
Conclusion: Appraising Ignorance and Illusion

The allure of illusion -

''We’ve seen that people are surprisingly ignorant, more ignorant than they think. We’ve also seen that the world is complex, even more complex than one might have thought. So why aren’t we overwhelmed by this complexity if we’re so ignorant? How can we get around, sound knowledgeable, and take ourselves seriously while understanding only a tiny fraction of what there is to know?''

What to do?

''The answer is that we do so by living a lie. We ignore complexity by overestimating how much we know about how things work, by living life in the belief that we know how things work even when we don’t. We tell ourselves that we understand what’s going on, that our opinions are justified by our knowledge, and that our actions are grounded in justified beliefs even though they are not. We tolerate complexity by failing to recognize it. That’s the illusion of understanding.'' (33)

'Living a lie'! Everybody? 'Illusion of understanding'? Man, this is bad! Professors too?

''When academics encounter a new idea that doesn’t conform to their preconceptions, there’s often a sequence of three reactions: first dismiss, then reject, and finally declare it obvious. The initial reaction to an idea that challenges an academic’s world view is to ignore it: Assume it’s not worthy of one’s time and consideration. If that doesn’t work, if community pressure forces the idea to be confronted, academics come up with reasons to reject it. Academics are terrific at justifying their opposition to an idea. Finally, if the idea is just too good to reject, if the idea hangs on in the community, academics find reasons to claim they knew it all along because it’s self-evident.'' (255)

This conclusion is from self-same academics! 'They just reject it'! Such as . . .

One glaring omission in this work is the neglect of Carl Menger, Ludwig Von Mises, Fredrick Von Hayek and their work on 'use of knowledge in society'. These are world famous scholars with profound insights into this same challenge. Not one mention, either by name or even the concept. Just ignored. Exactly the error this book is attempting to resolve!

Hayek - ''Adam Ferguson expressed it, “nations stumble upon establishments, which are indeed the result of human action but not the result of human design”; and that the spontaneous collaboration of free men often creates things which are greater than their individual minds can ever fully comprehend. This is the great discovery of classical political economy which has become the basis of our understanding not only of economic life but of most truly social phenomena.''

And Bastiat - ''If the market is free, no one can accumulate unless he renders a service to someone else. . . . In reality, said Bastiat, capital is always put at the service of other people who do not own it, and it is always used to satisfy a desire (good or bad) that other people want satisfied. In that important sense, all capital is truly owned in common by the entire community - and the greater accumulation of capital, the more it's benefits are shared in common.''

About two hundred and fifty notes. Every single one is linked to internet! Astounding!

Around five hundred references listed in index. Each one linked to text. Great!

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Senin, 21 Maret 2011

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The Best American Mystery Stories of the Century, by Tony Hillerman

In THE BEST AMERICAN MYSTERY STORIES OF THE CENTURY, best-selling author Tony Hillerman and mystery expert Otto Penzler present an unparalleled treasury of American suspense fiction that every fan will cherish. Offering the finest examples from all reaches of the genre, this collection charts the mystery's eminent history from the turn-of-the-century puzzles of Futrelle, to the seminal pulp fiction of Hammett and Chandler, to the mystery story's rise to legitimacy in the popular mind, a trend that has benefited masterly writers like Westlake, Hunter, and Grafton. Nowhere else can readers find a more thorough, more engaging, more essential distillation of American crime fiction.
Penzler, the Best American Mystery Stories series editor, and Hillerman winnowed this select group out of a thousand stories, drawing on sources as diverse as Ellery Queen's Mystery Magazine and Esquire, Collier's and The New Yorker. Giants of the genre abound -- Raymond Chandler, Stephen King, Dashiell Hammett, Lawrence Block, Ellery Queen, Sara Paretsky, and others -- but the editors also unearthed gems by luminaries rarely found in suspense anthologies: William Faulkner, John Steinbeck, Damon Runyon, Harlan Ellison, James Thurber, and Joyce Carol Oates. Mystery buffs and newcomers alike will delight in the thrilling stories and top-notch writing of a hundred years' worth of the finest suspense, crime, and mystery writing.

  • Sales Rank: #96122 in Books
  • Color: Red
  • Brand: Hillerman, Tony (EDT)/ Penzler, Otto (EDT)
  • Published on: 2001-04-13
  • Released on: 2001-04-13
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 2.00" w x 6.00" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 840 pages
Features
  • Fiction
  • Mystery

Amazon.com Review
Anthologies are tricky things for editors: to select a story for inclusion is to make oneself a target for readers who wonder hotly why X or Y or Z wasn't chosen. And to be so brash as to deem an anthology the best anything of the century practically invites scorn and condemnation. But with The Best American Mystery Stories of the Century, Tony Hillerman, Edgar-winning author, and Otto Penzler, founder of the Mysterious Press, step boldly to the firing line with a salvo of 55 stories that are so devious and absorbing, challenging and rewarding that most readers will hold their fire.

The collection stretches from O. Henry's 1903 tale of a bank robber who abandons his trade ("A Retrieved Reformation") to Dennis Lehane's unsettling sketch of a post-Gothic southern town and its canine conundrum ("Running Out of Dog," 1999), and brings together authors who at first seem uneasy bedfellows. William Faulkner and Ernest Hemingway jostle for space with Donald Westlake and Stephen Greenleaf; Willa Cather and Flannery O'Conner stare combatively at Sara Paretsky and Sue Grafton. But as one reads along, these potentially tense alliances relax: the boundaries between "modern" and "classic," "pulp" and "literature" evanesce, leaving instead a shimmering web of serendipitous affiliations: O. Henry and Stephen King nod amiably to one another, united by the skill of their devious narrative twists.

Hillerman and Penzler's selections reflect a century-long shift in mystery fiction from an emphasis on an exterior landscape--replete with the tangible artifacts of who, what, where, when, how, why--to a growing interest in the geography of interiority. This landscape thrives on the amorphousness of its own features. In Tom Franklin's "Poachers," for example, the puzzle hardly matters at all: real people, and their endlessly convoluted relationships, do. Three orphaned brothers who live as predators in the swamps of the Gulf Coast, the old widower who loves them, the sheriff who pities them all--who kills two of the boys and blinds a third? We never really know. In any case, Franklin's infinitely shaded nuances of silence and speech matter far more than the violence of the crime itself.

And for those readers who, when all is read and done, still insist that they could have done a much better job of judging, Penzler's disarming editorial shrug serves to remind that any anthology should be approached with equanimity, a touch of resignation, and not a little humor: "There are no scientific instruments that can tell a reader which of Harlan Ellison's two Edgar-winning short stories is better. It is a coin toss, and it can't be anything else. Let's just live with it." Happily, The Best American Mystery Stories of the Century is an extraordinarily rewarding companion. --Kelly Flynn

From Publishers Weekly
Hillerman, one of America's most distinguished crime novelists (The First Eagle, The Fallen Man, etc.), and Penzler, Mysterious Bookshops owner and Mysterious Press founder as well as series editor of the publisher's Best American Mystery Stories, have pooled their considerable expertise to pick the 55 tales that make up this hefty compendium. In between O. Henry's "A Retrieved Reformation" (1903) and Dennis Lehane's "Running Out of Dog" (1999), the editors include short gems by classic masters (Dashiell Hammett, James M. Cain, Raymond Chandler) and contemporary giants (Lawrence Block, Sue Grafton, Sara Paretsky). Well represented also are authors not usually associated with the field (Ernest Hemingway, John Steinbeck, William Faulkner, Stephen King, Joyce Carol Oates). In his foreword, Penzler entertainingly describes the formidable and sometimes subjective process of winnowing thousands of possible stories to a manageable number. Hillerman, meanwhile, who made the final selection, comments in his introduction on the genre's evolution from puzzle mystery for an elite readership 100 years ago to something much more substantial and democratic today, taking issue with critics such as Edmund Wilson and Jacques Barzun--who, he says, have failed to appreciate mystery's literary and social worth. Fans are sure to agree with Hillerman. This anthology is a cornerstone volume for any mystery library. (Apr.)
Copyright 2000 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal
Edited by mystery novelist Hillerman, this substantial anthology might better be titled The Best American Crime and Mystery Stories of the Century. While many of the selections pose a puzzle to be solved, just as many reveal the whole crime as it happens. Dating from 1904 to the present, these stories provide a rough chronology of 20th-century crime fiction, including pieces from the pulp magazines of the 1920s and 1930s and from the "golden age of mystery fiction" of the last two decades. All the great writers of the genre are here--Raymond Chandler, Ellery Queen, Sue Grafton, etc.--but so are writers not normally associated with crime fiction, e.g., Flannery O'Connor, John Steinbeck, and Harlan Ellison. Readers may find offensive the depictions of minorities and women in many of the earlier stories; the tales from the last 25 years are the most entertaining selections. While few of the stories are true gems, this is still a solid purchase for larger collections.
-Devon Thomas, Hass Assocs., Ann Arbor, MI
Copyright 2000 Reed Business Information, Inc.

Most helpful customer reviews

45 of 45 people found the following review helpful.
Now here is a great book!
By Brenda
The stories in it reminded me of the great writers I enjoyed much earlier in the century. I liked the fact that they dated the stories to let the reader know when they were written. I must commend Tony Hillerman for his impressive choices; it couldn't have been an easy job. I can tell you right now, don't expect to read it in one week, not even in a month. I do recommend you savor and enjoy these stories slowly, even repeatedly, over an extended length of time, possibly even between other mysteries. What I mean is, who would WANT to hurry through such classics as James M. Cain, Raymond Chandler, William Faulkner, Susan Glaspell, Stephen Greenleaf, Dashell Hammett, O Henry, Sue Grafton, or Flannery O'Connor? And that's just a drop in the bucket of Who's Who in this 813-page book.
Flannery O'Connor is one of my all time favorites. She has a strong way of making a point; her endings have always taken me by surprise. Her 1965-story The Comforts of Home, about a son still living with his mother and the unwelcome guest she brings home, has the honor of being included. Another great one is, Susan Glaspell's 1917 story, A Jury of Her Peers; a story of a husband who hung himself while still in bed. Then there's a 1905 story by Willa Cather called Paul's Case; about a recently released safe cracker who may or may not go straight. Be sure to read Tony Hillerman's introduction. He tells the reader the difference between literature and mystery and how mystery has evolved. On my keeper shelf it goes!

30 of 31 people found the following review helpful.
As good a collection of mystery stories as you'll get.
By Mark S. Winger
Regardless of whether you agree with the choices of all the stories selected within this book, it is a great representation of american mystery stories in the 20th century. The inclusion of some of the centuries most prolific mystery writers, (Chandler, Hammett, Cain, MacDonald (Ross & John D.)), famous novelists (Faulkner, Steinbeck, Buck), modern writers (Stephen King, Dennis Lehane, Sue Grafton, etc.), and countless others make this a fantastic collection. Only a "sour grapes" type of personality could not appreciate this book. I guarantee that this collection will have you wanting to read more from some of these authors, and probably expose you to authors you weren't aware of previously. With stories varying from 10 to 40 pages, you can choose how long you want to read. I am an avid mystery reader, and I while there are many great books and stories I have read, I feel this is the best purchase I have made for the assortment of authors, styles, and stories I have been exposed to.

38 of 43 people found the following review helpful.
An incredible anthology
By A Customer
Talk about pressure. The goal is to select fifty-five tales with each twentieth century decade having at least three entries written by American authors to represent the best mystery short stories of the last hundred years. That is what Tony Hillerman and Otto Penzler set out to do and succeeded.

As expected many of the famous classic mystery writers such Hammett, Queen, and Chandler have works included in this tome. Also not surprising is that several of current popular authors such as Block, Paretsky, and Lehane have works contained in the anthology. It will be very startling to some fans that members of the Who's Who of American literature includes names such as O'Henry, Hemingway, Faulkner, Steinbeck, and Thurber. Added to the mix is an explanation on the selection process by Penzler and a brief historical look at how vast the genre has grown from its roots.

Harriet Klausner

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Rabu, 16 Maret 2011

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The “Sherlock Holmes of Accounting” shows you how to protect your investments and avoid being taken in by crooked companies
Since the early 1990s, Financial Shenanigans has been helping investors unearth deceptive financial reporting at the most critical time― before they suffer major losses. This special 25th Anniversary edition of the bestselling guide shines a light on the most shocking frauds and financial reporting offenders and brings you up to speed on accounting chicanery in the global markets. You’ll discover all the current sophisticated techniques companies use to mislead investors. 
Financial Shenanigans equips you with the investigative tools needed to detect:
•Breeding Grounds for Shenanigans―How to spot corporate cultures that incentivize dishonest practices•Earnings Manipulation Shenanigans―The latest tricks companies use to exaggerate revenue and earnings•Cash Flow Shenanigans―Techniques devised by management to manipulate cash flow as easily as earnings•Key Metrics Shenanigans―How companies use misleading metrics to fool investors about their financial performance.•Acquisition Accounting Shenanigans – How to analyze serial acquirers to spot hidden problems   
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  • Sales Rank: #255487 in Books
  • Published on: 2018-04-06
  • Original language: English
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 368 pages

About the Author
Dr. Howard Schilit is the founder and CEO of Schilit Forensics, and a pioneer in the field of detecting accounting tricks in corporate financial reports.  He is the author of all previous editions of Financial Shenanigans: How to Detect Accounting Gimmicks & Fraud in Financial Reports. Schilit has been a leading spokesman before the US Congress, regulators, and global media outlets about accounting tricks and the early warning signs of business deterioration in public filings.  He began his career as a professor of accounting at American University and continues to teach and lecture all over the world.
Jeremy Perler is the Director of Research at Schilit Forensics and co-author of the third edition of Financial Shenanigans: How to Detect Accounting Gimmicks & Fraud in Financial Reports. He serves on the Standing Advisory Group of the PCAOB. He previously sat on the FASB's Financial Accounting Standards Advisory Council (FASAC) as a representative of the Investor Community. He holds a Master of Accounting and a BBA from the University of Michigan Ross School of Business. 
Yoni Engelhart is a partner at Schilit Forensics. Previously, he served as a Principal at Partners Capital, a Product Management Specialist at Wellington Management Company; and held several roles at CFRA including Senior Analyst, Director of Business Strategy, and Director of Quantitative Research.  Yoni is a CFA Charterholder. He holds a BS from the University of Maryland and an MBA from Harvard Business School. 

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